In several previous postings on our Blog, we have looked at various ways that Sellers can improve the performance of Country Inns and Bed and Breakfast Inns. All of this was done from the Sellers’ standpoint in order to add value to the sales price. In this Article, we are going to look at these issues from the Buyers’ standpoint. The central question is whether the economic meltdown of recent days provides real opportunities for Inn Buyers to obtain significant bargains? In other words, is the timing right for Buyers to buy Inns?
Here is the gloom: Clearly the Global Economic Crisis has been severely impacted by the lack of available credit. It is likewise certain that real estate prices will take a long period to recover. If banks are unable or unwilling to loan money to businesses, how can Inn purchases be financed in the near term? If Buyers are unable to sell their primary asset, their homes, they are just not going to be able to purchase an Inn.
Yet these are generalizations about the National and Global economy that are not always specifically true in every location in the Country. While we continually hear how much trouble the National and Regional Banks are in, many local banks which have been conservative in their lending practices seem to be weathering the storm. They continue to say that they have money to loan to creditworthy borrowers for good projects. This is especially true when Banks utilize the various SBA Programs which provide them with even greater security for lending to small businesses.
Thus, the immediate answer is that we believe the times may be right for Buyers who are ready and able to purchase Inns, provided that they buy at the right price. While the bottom of the Inn market has not yet been reached, some Sellers have recognized that they either have to wait for a long time to sell or they need to make significant price reductions in order to attract Buyers. Sellers may also have to offer some degree of subordinated seller financing if they want to achieve the highest value for their Inns. The key answer for both Sellers and Buyers is to find a way to price Inns fairly based on reasonable and objective business standards in order to be able to attract lenders to provide reasonable financing.
Credit standards at most banks have tightened considerably. It is clear that borrowers need to have squeaky clean credit records and high personal credit scores in order just to get the banks to talk to them. Likewise, the availability of SBA loans is entirely dependant on the credit worthiness of the particular Inn business. This means that (1) the loan-to-value ratio will be more in the 70% to 75% range today (requiring more money down by Buyers), and (2) the historic Net Cash Flow (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and owners’ salaries) of the Inn must be able to cover the principle and interest payments of the new loan by at least 1.25 to 1.30 times (the “Debt Coverage Ratio”).
With those very conservative lending criteria in mind, we are basically talking about Buyers buying only Inns that are performing well in today’s business climate as opposed to those Inns that have struggled in the past to achieve profitability. While many Buyers fall in love with the beautiful Country Inn or Bed and Breakfast which could be turned around to reach profitability by their hard efforts, most banks today are not going to lend on potential earnings. The banks only want to look at the past profitability, and what are the risks that, if the economy continues to slow even more than at present, how will the Buyers be able to keep the loans current?
Whether the economic slow-down will impact tourism in the long run is a key factor in all of this decision-making as to timing. It is clear that it will have an impact in the short-term, but what will next summer bring? Predicting flat or somewhat decreased sales seems too optimistic in today’s economy. We believe that sales may decrease next year by a factor of 5% to 10% as against the current year. This must be factored into the Buyers’ pricing and business plan.
In conclusion, ready and able Buyers may find this is an opportune time to buy historically well performing Inns and Bed and Breakfasts at realistic prices. The need is to search out the good opportunities from the very many non-performing Inns on the market today, negotiate the right price along with credit enhancements such as Seller financing, and take advantage of local banks with help from the SBA programs.
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