The most recent news from the Hospitality Industry is not good for Innkeepers. Hotel REIT giant, LaSalle Properties announced it was cutting 20% from its hotel staffing (mostly run by large hotel management companies) and has rescinded its 2008 guidance to the stock market. LaSalle reported that its Revpar (revenue per available room) decreased by 11.4 % in October; a huge drop! While the Innkeeping Business does not use Revpar as a measurement, it is fundamentally the same as saying that average daily rate and occupancy combined dropped by that amount. LaSalle is an important bell- weather for Inns because it is comprised of mostly luxury and higher-priced hotel properties. For the full story, please see: LaSalle Orders 20% Cut in Hotel Staffing - WSJ.com.
We hear anecdotally that many Inns and Bed and Breakfasts across the Country have had good years in 2008, at least until the end of October. Now is not the time for Innkeepers to rest on their laurels. A sea change is coming, in the form of a recession, the likes of which we have not seen in our lifetimes. This is also not the time to just burrow in fear of what is to come. As we have said many times before, when there is a downturn, those Inns at the top of their game can improve market share as against the competition. A bigger piece of a smaller pie may save the day after all.
So this is the time to be countercyclical and increase your spending on marketing, especially electronic marketing through your website, blog, and by email. Create attractive packages rather than discount, and spend all of that extra time you have due to declining occupancies to come up with creative and imaginative ways to get your repeat and referral guests to the Inn. Most of all, just lowering the price will not work, and may make things worse in the long run (see previous article on Discounting).
Most of all, have heart. The biggest reason that they come back to the Inn is because your have created a refuge and a respite from all of the problems the guests face at home and in the real world. Remember that this is exactly what the guests need in these troubled times, and they will pay you for this experience.
Showing posts with label Yield Management. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Yield Management. Show all posts
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Running a Bed & Breakfast Inn: Discounting Room Rates Does Not Work!
In troubled times like today, Bed and Breakfast Innkeepers have an overwhelming feeling that the best way through this downturn (say recession!) is to put their room rates on sale. Isn’t that just what the retailers do at Christmas time to survive a bad season? The answer is that discounting in the travel business not only does not work, it creates a pattern of customer behavior that will last for years, even when times are better. Let’s look at the specifics.
Following 9/11, the Hotel Industry reacted to the basic loss of corporate business by deeply discounting their rates and putting large blocks of unused inventory on third-party web sites. The result was $50 a night rooms on sites like hotels.com which set up a huge expectation with consumers that this was the right price to pay for hotel rooms, no matter what the differences were in quality between each hotel. Many subsequent studies showed that the hotels basically killed their business for several years after the original reason for the discounting had gone away. The PAII Industry Study for 2002 and 2004 shows clearly that while occupancy at bed and breakfast and country inns decreased somewhat over the same period, rates did not go down significantly. Innkeepers knew the value of their product and held their rates. The result was that the Inn Industry basically avoided the meltdown that the Hotels suffered during that time.
By the end of 2007, rates for both Hotels and Inns were higher than in 2001, and occupancy rates had climbed back for the most part to 2000 levels (the best year to date in the Inn business). It is hard to tell where we will end up in 2008, but it clearly will not be a growth year. More important, where will we be in 2009?
Let’s put this into perspective. What would be the impact of your Inn business if revenues declined by say 10%? For an Inn grossing $400,000, that would mean a decrease in sales of $40,000. If the Gross Margin for that Inn (net cash flow/gross revenue) was an efficient 46%, then the net cash flow will also go down by 10%. In this example, the net cash flow would decrease by $18,400 from $184,000 to $165,600. The expenses also have to decrease, and there clearly can be cost reductions since many of the Inn’s expenses are variable and related to occupancy. In other words, as occupancy decreases, certain expenses like housekeeping, amenities and other costs related to occupancy levels will decrease as well. Added to this are the discretionary spending that can be reduced or deferred, all of which leads to the conclusion that even a 10% decrease in revenue will not result in a calamity for a well-run Inn business. It is more like something that needs to be weathered.
Most Innkeepers have a good sense of what the true expenses of operating the Inn are, and can find the ways to reduce costs. More important, most of your personal expenses seem to be interwoven in the Inn’s finances as well, providing a really sound way of reducing expenses. Knowing what is the real cost of the Inn gives you a better way of knowing how much you have to charge in rates to make an adequate return on investment (i.e. to pay the mortgage and have some for yourself) at any level of occupancy. Once you do this, you do not have to discount, you need only charge a fair price to achieve a fair rate of return on investment.
The real concern then remains this nagging feeling among Innkeepers that the only way out of a downturn is to discount. This should be avoided at any cost, because, as described above, once it is done, your guests will never again feel like paying your full rates. It will take many years to climb out of that hole. A better approach is to sell well priced packages and have value-added specials to supplement your rates. This has always worked well for our Industry, and will work again.
Finally, a word about cutting costs. Marketing and maintenance are the two areas that are easy to cut, but have the longest negative affect on your Inn business. This is the time to do what you can to increase marketing, because while the overall travel business may be decreasing, by great marketing you can stabilize or even increase your market share of the business that exists. Deferring maintenance is also something that comes back to bite you, since the cost of making repairs will always be more in the future if something is deferred.
The long and short is that you can favorably impact your results, even in bad economic times. Have faith that this too will pass, but in the interim, cut costs and market, market, market!
Following 9/11, the Hotel Industry reacted to the basic loss of corporate business by deeply discounting their rates and putting large blocks of unused inventory on third-party web sites. The result was $50 a night rooms on sites like hotels.com which set up a huge expectation with consumers that this was the right price to pay for hotel rooms, no matter what the differences were in quality between each hotel. Many subsequent studies showed that the hotels basically killed their business for several years after the original reason for the discounting had gone away. The PAII Industry Study for 2002 and 2004 shows clearly that while occupancy at bed and breakfast and country inns decreased somewhat over the same period, rates did not go down significantly. Innkeepers knew the value of their product and held their rates. The result was that the Inn Industry basically avoided the meltdown that the Hotels suffered during that time.
By the end of 2007, rates for both Hotels and Inns were higher than in 2001, and occupancy rates had climbed back for the most part to 2000 levels (the best year to date in the Inn business). It is hard to tell where we will end up in 2008, but it clearly will not be a growth year. More important, where will we be in 2009?
Let’s put this into perspective. What would be the impact of your Inn business if revenues declined by say 10%? For an Inn grossing $400,000, that would mean a decrease in sales of $40,000. If the Gross Margin for that Inn (net cash flow/gross revenue) was an efficient 46%, then the net cash flow will also go down by 10%. In this example, the net cash flow would decrease by $18,400 from $184,000 to $165,600. The expenses also have to decrease, and there clearly can be cost reductions since many of the Inn’s expenses are variable and related to occupancy. In other words, as occupancy decreases, certain expenses like housekeeping, amenities and other costs related to occupancy levels will decrease as well. Added to this are the discretionary spending that can be reduced or deferred, all of which leads to the conclusion that even a 10% decrease in revenue will not result in a calamity for a well-run Inn business. It is more like something that needs to be weathered.
Most Innkeepers have a good sense of what the true expenses of operating the Inn are, and can find the ways to reduce costs. More important, most of your personal expenses seem to be interwoven in the Inn’s finances as well, providing a really sound way of reducing expenses. Knowing what is the real cost of the Inn gives you a better way of knowing how much you have to charge in rates to make an adequate return on investment (i.e. to pay the mortgage and have some for yourself) at any level of occupancy. Once you do this, you do not have to discount, you need only charge a fair price to achieve a fair rate of return on investment.
The real concern then remains this nagging feeling among Innkeepers that the only way out of a downturn is to discount. This should be avoided at any cost, because, as described above, once it is done, your guests will never again feel like paying your full rates. It will take many years to climb out of that hole. A better approach is to sell well priced packages and have value-added specials to supplement your rates. This has always worked well for our Industry, and will work again.
Finally, a word about cutting costs. Marketing and maintenance are the two areas that are easy to cut, but have the longest negative affect on your Inn business. This is the time to do what you can to increase marketing, because while the overall travel business may be decreasing, by great marketing you can stabilize or even increase your market share of the business that exists. Deferring maintenance is also something that comes back to bite you, since the cost of making repairs will always be more in the future if something is deferred.
The long and short is that you can favorably impact your results, even in bad economic times. Have faith that this too will pass, but in the interim, cut costs and market, market, market!
Wednesday, December 06, 2006
Yield Management? Not!!
I was looking at the December edition of PAII's Innkeeping this morning, and had a thought that I wanted to pass on. Clearly this falls in the range of “for what it is worth.”
I have heard Bill Carroll talk several times on Yield Management, including at last year’s PAII Conference. He is clearly a bright and thoughtful professor. However, this discussion turns me off every time I hear it. It seems to be all about the money and not about the guest. It seems to be the antithesis of the kind of hospitality that we strive for as Innkeepers. Even mentioning the possibility of overbooking rooms and having different rates for the same type of rooms on the same days, makes me cringe. Working hard to have a strong Inn business is something we have taught for many years, but the means of achieving this goal also matters. I think, bottom line, that Yield Management is perhaps the opposite of what we should be teaching Innkeepers or Aspiring Innkeepers. Our segment of the Hospitality Industry has always, always differentiated ourselves based on the high level of individual hospitality we provide to the guests. This has helped us considerably in the tough times following 9/11 when the larger hotel industry was killing itself with discounting and hotels.com type distribution channels. In my opinion, the future of our way of Innkeeping seems to depend upon increasing the level of hospitality to the guests, not becoming more institutionalized and impersonal. We need to continue to think about what is the next amenity that we can provide to the guests, not how much money we can get.
Now, Bill Carroll is writing about Demand Management. Once I got past the Yield Management stuff in the article, however, I actually thought that some of it made some sense to me. Analyzing marketing expenses, sources of contacts, and tracking web results (i.e. spending time trying to figure out who the guest is, and why and how he finds the Inn) is all something that most good Innkeepers have been doing for years. Asking the question “How did you hear about us?” is such a standard question that every Innkeeper must ask a prospective guest. Treating “loyal guests” (i.e. repeat guests) as special is one of the essentials of good Innkeeping. I recall an article in Innkeeping many years ago by Maureen McGee from Rabbit Hill Inn in Vermont, on how to answer telephone calls for reservations. This was done before anyone ever heard about the Internet. Some of this article is clearly still relevant. Asking about why the guest was coming and how they heard about the Inn were such basics even at that pre-web time. Tracking sources of contacts has been present from the earliest days of bed and breakfast reservation software.
In sum, let’s get back to basics. If we treat all the guests as very special, they may want to come back. If we treat repeat guests even better, they might clearly refer more business to us. No matter how much the Internet and computers become a part of our lives as Innkeepers, the best, least expensive, and most lasting form of marketing, is and always will be treating the guests to superb hospitality. Modern electronic marketing has become very important, and will succeed if we remember that is all about serving the guest and their needs. If Yield Management is the way of the future, then I have sincere doubts about how we can continue to differentiate ourselves from every chain hotel off the highway.
I have heard Bill Carroll talk several times on Yield Management, including at last year’s PAII Conference. He is clearly a bright and thoughtful professor. However, this discussion turns me off every time I hear it. It seems to be all about the money and not about the guest. It seems to be the antithesis of the kind of hospitality that we strive for as Innkeepers. Even mentioning the possibility of overbooking rooms and having different rates for the same type of rooms on the same days, makes me cringe. Working hard to have a strong Inn business is something we have taught for many years, but the means of achieving this goal also matters. I think, bottom line, that Yield Management is perhaps the opposite of what we should be teaching Innkeepers or Aspiring Innkeepers. Our segment of the Hospitality Industry has always, always differentiated ourselves based on the high level of individual hospitality we provide to the guests. This has helped us considerably in the tough times following 9/11 when the larger hotel industry was killing itself with discounting and hotels.com type distribution channels. In my opinion, the future of our way of Innkeeping seems to depend upon increasing the level of hospitality to the guests, not becoming more institutionalized and impersonal. We need to continue to think about what is the next amenity that we can provide to the guests, not how much money we can get.
Now, Bill Carroll is writing about Demand Management. Once I got past the Yield Management stuff in the article, however, I actually thought that some of it made some sense to me. Analyzing marketing expenses, sources of contacts, and tracking web results (i.e. spending time trying to figure out who the guest is, and why and how he finds the Inn) is all something that most good Innkeepers have been doing for years. Asking the question “How did you hear about us?” is such a standard question that every Innkeeper must ask a prospective guest. Treating “loyal guests” (i.e. repeat guests) as special is one of the essentials of good Innkeeping. I recall an article in Innkeeping many years ago by Maureen McGee from Rabbit Hill Inn in Vermont, on how to answer telephone calls for reservations. This was done before anyone ever heard about the Internet. Some of this article is clearly still relevant. Asking about why the guest was coming and how they heard about the Inn were such basics even at that pre-web time. Tracking sources of contacts has been present from the earliest days of bed and breakfast reservation software.
In sum, let’s get back to basics. If we treat all the guests as very special, they may want to come back. If we treat repeat guests even better, they might clearly refer more business to us. No matter how much the Internet and computers become a part of our lives as Innkeepers, the best, least expensive, and most lasting form of marketing, is and always will be treating the guests to superb hospitality. Modern electronic marketing has become very important, and will succeed if we remember that is all about serving the guest and their needs. If Yield Management is the way of the future, then I have sincere doubts about how we can continue to differentiate ourselves from every chain hotel off the highway.
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